Scientists used a computer to predict exactly when society will collapse

A team of scientists has used advanced computer modeling to predict when human society might face collapse—and the results are both startling and sobering.

Leveraging the power of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analysis, researchers have attempted to forecast the future of humanity and the planet, with one study pointing to a potential societal collapse by 2040.

The 1972 MIT Study: A Grim Forecast

The origins of this prediction trace back to 1972, when a group of scientists at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) used computer modeling to analyze trends in population growth, natural resource depletion, and energy consumption.

Their findings, published in a report titled The Limits to Growth by the Club of Rome, warned that unchecked growth and resource exploitation could lead to the eventual collapse of human society.

The study projected that this collapse would occur around the mid-21st century, specifically by 2040. At the time, the report was met with skepticism and even ridicule. However, as decades passed, subsequent research began to validate its alarming predictions.

Supporting Studies: Echoes of the 1972 Findings

In 2009, a team of researchers revisited the MIT study and found that its predictions were remarkably accurate. Published in American Scientist, their analysis concluded that the original model’s forecasts were “almost exactly on course” 35 years later. The researchers noted that no economic model had been as precise over such a long time span.

More recently, in 2021, Dutch sustainability researcher Gaya Herrington conducted her own analysis to test the validity of the 1972 predictions. Herrington compared the original model’s projections with real-world data and found that they aligned closely.

She warned that under a worst-case scenario, economic growth could stall by the end of this decade, with societal collapse following around 10 years later.

A Glimmer of Hope

Despite the grim outlook, Herrington offered a ray of hope. She emphasized that humanity still has the power to alter its trajectory. “The key finding of my study is that we still have a choice to align with a scenario that does not end in collapse,” she told The Guardian.

By embracing innovation, sustainable practices, and proactive policies, societies could potentially avoid the predicted downfall.

Herrington’s research highlights the importance of updating and refining predictive models to reflect current realities. She believes that with collective effort from governments, businesses, and civil society, we can create a more sustainable future.

What Does This Mean for Us?

The predictions from these studies serve as a stark reminder of the urgent need to address global challenges such as climate change, resource depletion, and overpopulation. While the timeline may seem daunting, the research also underscores the potential for positive change if we act decisively and collaboratively.

As Herrington pointed out, the future is not set in stone. By prioritizing sustainability and innovation, humanity can work toward a future that avoids collapse and fosters resilience. The question is not just when society might collapse, but whether we can come together to prevent it.